One other factor - who is going to show up to vote on this sleepy Tuesday in August?

This goes against Dan. A lot of his elite voters are away - or they assume he has it in the bag. Yuh-Line's progressive and WFP folks will show up at a much higher rate. This goes for a lot of Carlina's people too.

Overall, it's still likely Dan wins but I think most people really underestimate how lazy New Yorkers are when it comes to voting. Really so unbelievably lazy.

Expand full comment

Time for the follow-up--who did how much in the 10 districts of district 10

Expand full comment