The key to 2025 is understanding 2021.
What this doesn’t include is that Adams “won” by the least amount of votes since 1953. He’s a horrible mayor. I wrote in Wiley in the general. I’ve never written in someone before, but I couldn’t hold my nose and vote for him.
Curious, Michael - I've been reading that NYC's black population has had a pretty precipitous decline over the past five years (down from 25% to 20% or something similarly big... you're the data guy, not me :P) ... what does that mean for Adams' re-election chances as NYC's demographics change? I would assume, completely unsupported by data, that the departures aren't coming from the Wiley camp.
Good point but that was a governor's race. Maybe not Zeldin but a moderate Republican could probably beat Eric.
> Increasingly, the vacuum to Stringer’s left was filled with the gradient of Dianne Morales.
I see what you did there. ;-)
You seem to forget Adams began his career by challenging Major Owens and harassing David Dinkins: http://roomgate.blogspot.com/2013/03/the-secret-history-of-eric-adams.html?view=magazine
The what happen to the yang vote is wrong. I think Wiley and Garcia are mix up
I think you're asking the wrong question. Can someone from the right defeat Eric Adams? Answer: Maybe. Not sure what anyone could promise to ameliorate the migrant population (and I don't agree it's a real issue) but people hate Eric. He's not a Democrat and neither was Garcia really but people want a change. Garcia might be able to oust Eric in the primary but she wouldn't be running to his left.
Lee Zeldin might be able to win as a Republican.
Literally nothing is going to change if Eric is ousted but voters are willing to believe candidates the same way they believe the media that we are being overrun by migrants and NYC is being destroyed etc.