This is a very long article that somehow avoids mentioning that mamdani refused to condemn either the terrorist attack in Washington a few weeks ago or the actual Holocaust.
I've read a lot of breathless hype for Zohran Mamdani over the last couple months, but none of it answers the obvious question -- sure, he can hypothetically win the Democratic primary, but what exactly is his plan for winning the general?
Or even more narrowly: what is his plan for *beating Cuomo* in the general? Handsy Andy has a vanity ballot line, and he's not going to go away quietly; Zohran can't count on RCV to put him over the top, and the main reason he's escaped a deluge of attack ads correctly noting he is an honest-to-god socialist is that no one thinks he can win.
If Zohran Mamdani wins the Democratic Primary, he'd be the favorite to win a plurality of the vote in the General Election. Andrew Cuomo, running on an Independent ballot line, would have to compete with both incumbent Eric Adams, also running third-party, and Curtis Sliwa, the presumptive Republican nominee, to consolidate the anti-Mamdani vote. Neither of the aforementioned three would have any incentive to drop out to help the others, and said fractured opposition would be a boon to Mamdani.
The Democratic nominee, regardless of who it is, will be very difficult to defeat in November.
Do you think Eric Adams is actually going to stay in the race, rather than doing an RFK Jr.-style endorsement? I think he would RELISH the chance to play kingmaker here, and I think he'd actually be very game to allying with Sliwa. (He did try to run on the Republican ticket, lol!)
Excellent along with my breakfast coffee, I'm a Manhattanite, and the Trump chaos dominates the idyl chatter, since the voting location is in our community room everyone will probably vote, I'd say a reluctant Cuomo vote predominates with lots of we need another Bloomberg. The UFT, with members that vote has not yet endorsed, a membership questionnaire a few days ago .... Cuomo appeared at the annual UFT Spring Conference a few weeks ago, along with his contenders, not a forum, each candidate engaged with Mulgrew, Cuomo hit all the right themes.
The last time the UFT endorsed a winner was Dinkins in 1989!
Of course, endorsements don't guarantee votes, and in the world of RCV multiple endorsements seem likely. UFT endorsements a week or so before the election may be more impactful. For my cohort Cuomo is a dislikeable SOB, but he's our dislikeable SOB
"Unfortunately, the median voter is not Matt Yglesias." We might have to remove the un- here (as much as I like Zellnor).
I was waiting for this and it did not disappoint!
This is a very long article that somehow avoids mentioning that mamdani refused to condemn either the terrorist attack in Washington a few weeks ago or the actual Holocaust.
I've read a lot of breathless hype for Zohran Mamdani over the last couple months, but none of it answers the obvious question -- sure, he can hypothetically win the Democratic primary, but what exactly is his plan for winning the general?
Or even more narrowly: what is his plan for *beating Cuomo* in the general? Handsy Andy has a vanity ballot line, and he's not going to go away quietly; Zohran can't count on RCV to put him over the top, and the main reason he's escaped a deluge of attack ads correctly noting he is an honest-to-god socialist is that no one thinks he can win.
If Zohran Mamdani wins the Democratic Primary, he'd be the favorite to win a plurality of the vote in the General Election. Andrew Cuomo, running on an Independent ballot line, would have to compete with both incumbent Eric Adams, also running third-party, and Curtis Sliwa, the presumptive Republican nominee, to consolidate the anti-Mamdani vote. Neither of the aforementioned three would have any incentive to drop out to help the others, and said fractured opposition would be a boon to Mamdani.
The Democratic nominee, regardless of who it is, will be very difficult to defeat in November.
Do you think Eric Adams is actually going to stay in the race, rather than doing an RFK Jr.-style endorsement? I think he would RELISH the chance to play kingmaker here, and I think he'd actually be very game to allying with Sliwa. (He did try to run on the Republican ticket, lol!)
Excellent along with my breakfast coffee, I'm a Manhattanite, and the Trump chaos dominates the idyl chatter, since the voting location is in our community room everyone will probably vote, I'd say a reluctant Cuomo vote predominates with lots of we need another Bloomberg. The UFT, with members that vote has not yet endorsed, a membership questionnaire a few days ago .... Cuomo appeared at the annual UFT Spring Conference a few weeks ago, along with his contenders, not a forum, each candidate engaged with Mulgrew, Cuomo hit all the right themes.
The last time the UFT endorsed a winner was Dinkins in 1989!
Of course, endorsements don't guarantee votes, and in the world of RCV multiple endorsements seem likely. UFT endorsements a week or so before the election may be more impactful. For my cohort Cuomo is a dislikeable SOB, but he's our dislikeable SOB