" While he made pronounced inroads among working-class Black and Hispanic voters the past four months, his ceiling for improvement is even greater. The intelligentsia of Manhattan may sour on him, or rally behind a white-collar adversary in four years, but Mamdani will almost assuredly deepen his reservoir of support across the blue-collar outer boroughs; net positive arithmetic in the equation of re-election." - great insight here and one I think will likely end up being the case, even in the best-case scenario.
Kudos, as usual a thoughtful analysis, campaigning and governing are different animals, after the postcoital exultation the day to day drudgery of governing. In 1989 the UFT vigorously supported the insurgent challenge to a three term incumbent. E d Lynch, Dinkins political guru urged him to be tough with the UFT, months went by, the UFT picked Gracie Mansion, radio ads, finally, a few months before the election a contract was agreed to, the UFT made no endorsement, teacher fled to Giuliani. The lesson: voters are fickle, in love one day, unfaithful the next, polyamory is common in the behavior of voters, hopefully Z has some Houdini DNA
"Block By Block, Baby!"
" While he made pronounced inroads among working-class Black and Hispanic voters the past four months, his ceiling for improvement is even greater. The intelligentsia of Manhattan may sour on him, or rally behind a white-collar adversary in four years, but Mamdani will almost assuredly deepen his reservoir of support across the blue-collar outer boroughs; net positive arithmetic in the equation of re-election." - great insight here and one I think will likely end up being the case, even in the best-case scenario.
"Jewish Democrats (precincts where 10%+ of registered voters have Jewish surnames, and Kamala Harris won 60%+ of the vote)"
Hmmm... That would leave out the UES as a whole where Cuomo did considerably better, no? Curious as to where this rather odd assessment comes from.
It's nice to witness history, but towards the future you want.
Kudos, as usual a thoughtful analysis, campaigning and governing are different animals, after the postcoital exultation the day to day drudgery of governing. In 1989 the UFT vigorously supported the insurgent challenge to a three term incumbent. E d Lynch, Dinkins political guru urged him to be tough with the UFT, months went by, the UFT picked Gracie Mansion, radio ads, finally, a few months before the election a contract was agreed to, the UFT made no endorsement, teacher fled to Giuliani. The lesson: voters are fickle, in love one day, unfaithful the next, polyamory is common in the behavior of voters, hopefully Z has some Houdini DNA